Are we past peak ?
Average Daily oil production
Year/ production( in million bpd )
--------------------------
2002/ 77
2003/ 79.6
2004/ 83
2005/ 84.34 ( including the dip during Sep-Oct 05, due to hurricanes )
2005/ 84.5 ( 10 months excluding Sep-Oct for hurricanes )
2006/ 84.5 ( First 5 months only )
Highest ever monthly average was 85.05 in December 2005.
If oil is plentyful and price is record high, why isn't the production increasing ?
All the data mentioned so far is from: EIA website ( http://www.eia.doe.gov )
Also some interesting decline rates according to BP statistical survey. These declines are from 2004 to 2005
USA = 5.5%
Canada = 1.3% ( despite oil sands )
Mexico = 1%
Norway = 7.5%
UK = 11%
Iraq = 9.5%
Most of the significant growth in production came from Former Soviet Union Africa and Middle East. It will be interesting to see this years numbers for Saudi Arabia ( declining production from April 2006 )Kuwait ( with the peaking of Burgan ) and Mexico ( peaking of Cantarell ).
Year/ production( in million bpd )
--------------------------
2002/ 77
2003/ 79.6
2004/ 83
2005/ 84.34 ( including the dip during Sep-Oct 05, due to hurricanes )
2005/ 84.5 ( 10 months excluding Sep-Oct for hurricanes )
2006/ 84.5 ( First 5 months only )
Highest ever monthly average was 85.05 in December 2005.
If oil is plentyful and price is record high, why isn't the production increasing ?
All the data mentioned so far is from: EIA website ( http://www.eia.doe.gov )
Also some interesting decline rates according to BP statistical survey. These declines are from 2004 to 2005
USA = 5.5%
Canada = 1.3% ( despite oil sands )
Mexico = 1%
Norway = 7.5%
UK = 11%
Iraq = 9.5%
Most of the significant growth in production came from Former Soviet Union Africa and Middle East. It will be interesting to see this years numbers for Saudi Arabia ( declining production from April 2006 )Kuwait ( with the peaking of Burgan ) and Mexico ( peaking of Cantarell ).
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